Archive for the ‘march2010’ Category

SWI NEWS: Thursday, April 1, 2010 17 Nisan, 5770

Wednesday, March 31st, 2010

India orders Israeli armed UAVs - in case US drones reach Pakistan
DEBKAfile Special Report April 1, 2010, 12:08 AM (GMT+02:00)

Harop killer UAV made in Israel

 

IAF Anti-Aircraft Laser Could Be Operational by 2015

(IsraelNN.com) Laser systems that will replace existing air defense systems on the battlefield are expected to go operational in five years’ time, experts told a unique academic conference hosted by the Israel Air Force this week. The systems being developed include lasers that will shoot down airplanes.

Col. Zvi Haimovitz, Commander of the Northern Anti-Aircraft Support Unit, told the conference that “it is just a matter of time” before the laser technology becomes operational. “It is too bad that laser systems are not advancing at the same rate as standard systems, but their price certainly plays a significant role in the delayed process,” he explained.

Some of the Israeli academia’s top scientific and technological minds met with hundreds of the Air Force’s top officers at the conference, that was titled “Energy: The Challenge of the Future.” It was held at an IAF base in Herzliya, the IDF website reported.

Anti-Aircraft Lasers
Maj. Gen. (res.) Prof. Isaac Ben-Israel, former head of the Administration for the Development of Weapons and Technological Infrastructure (Maf’at) and current Chairman of the Space Authority, said that short-range missiles are the threats that the world is dealing with today. “The IDF knows the technology for intercepting short range rockets very well, and now laser technology and electromagnetic weapons can be used to intercept short range missiles,” he said.

“A laser weapon can shoot down anything that is in the air including aircraft,” Ben-Israel explained, adding that it will take about five years for laser technology to be operational in the battlefield.

The chances that a terror group like Hamas could acquire such technology itself are “close to zero,” he estimated, but added: “I do not think that the question of whether Hamas can get to this technology is a practical question. However, hypothetically speaking, if Hamas would have such a weapon there would be very little we could do against it. It can be possible to find solutions in electronic warfare against the system, but keep in mind that we would have a very short time at our disposal. There is no armor that can prevent the effect of a powerful laser beam.”

IAF Commander, Maj. Gen. Ido Nechushtan, said that “in our reality, those who think better and faster, have an advantage in the battlefield. It is important that we continue to develop technologies that we have yet to invent. We must develop new technologies.”

Brig. Gen Rami Ben Efraim, Head of IAF manpower branch, said during the conference that “the idea behind this day is to connect the academia and a practical body such as the Air Force that actually puts research into practice.”


 

The Garden Tomb: Where Jesus Rose Again?

JERUSALEM - On Easter Sunday, millions of Christians around the world will be celebrating the resurrection of Jesus Christ.

In Jerusalem, thousands of Christian pilgrims will visit what many believe to be the site of that resurrection. 

Located near the heart of Jerusalem is a place called The Garden Tomb, what some believe was the Garden of Joseph of Arimathea. Here is where some believe Jesus died, was buried, and then rose from the dead. 

The garden is a two acre oasis in the often hectic city of Jerusalem. British Christians bought the garden 125 years ago and formed The Garden Tomb Association. For years, they’ve allowed visitors here free of charge. 

“What we do have here in the Garden is a perfect representation of the Biblical accounts at the end of the four Gospels. Everything in those four Gospels matches what we show people here in the Garden,” Richard Meryon, director of The Garden Tomb, said.

Touring the Garden

Today, nearly a quarter of a million visitors pour into The Garden Tomb each year. Guide Steve Bridge took CBN News on a tour visitors get when they come to the garden.     

“What we plot out is the basic geography that we have in the Bible,” he explained. “Jesus was crucified outside of the city walls at a place called Golgotha. And in the immediate area to where Jesus was crucified there was a garden that belonged to a rich man by the name of Joseph of Arimathea.”

We came first to the place the Bible calls “Golgotha,” where the book of Matthew says “and when they had come to a place called Golgotha, that is to say, Place of a Skull.” 

“What are some of the main questions people ask you when they come here?” we asked Bridge.

“Some of the main questions, certainly from Christian groups would be can we be certain that this is the place where Jesus died and He was raised to life,” Bridge said. “People often ask how come there are two places, here and there is the Holy Sepulcher?”

Weighing the Evidence

The question arises because some believe Jerusalem’s Church of the Holy Sepulcher is the actual place of the crucifixion and resurrection, not the Garden Tomb. Constantine’s mother Queen Helena helped build the church in 326 A.D. 

The archeological weight supporting the church’s claim is substantial. For example, the Roman emperor Hadrian built a temple on the site in the second century because local Christians venerated the site as the place of Golgotha.   

But the evidence for the Garden can be compelling. The gospel of John says, “… at the place where jesus was crucified, there was a garden … “  (John 19: 38; 41)

If you have a garden, you need lots of water, especially in the dry Middle East. The Garden Tomb contains one of the oldest and largest cisterns in Jerusalem. It’s 2,000 years old and holds about 200,000 gallons of water.

“So the tomb we have here is a typical of a first century Jewish rolling stone tomb. It’s dated at least 2,000 years, possibly older,” Bridge explained to CBN News.

The Empty Tomb 

In the Garden, the Bible also says there was a tomb. 

“It is carved out of solid rock. It’s a man-made tomb and that’s how the Bible describes the tomb in which the body of Jesus was laid,” Bridge said of the tomb, while we we standing next its entrance.

“This channel that you can see in front of the tomb entrance is where the stone would have sat that would have been rolled to seal the entrance to the tomb. So finally, the most important thing about this tomb itself is that it’s empty.”

We went inside for a look.

“What we’re looking at when we’re looking at this direction is through into the burial chamber itself,” Bridge explained. “And what you have inside the burial chamber are these two areas where a body would be laid, one just down here and one on this side.”

The tomb itself seems to fit the Bible’s description. But whether The Garden Tomb or the Church of the Holy Sepulcher is the site of the resurrection of Jesus, many Christian pilgrims take with them a profound affirmation of their faith

“I’m a Bible teacher in the states. And want to take some of this passion back, that Jesus is who he says he is, that he is the son of God, and he did walk this earth,” Kelcey Gillespie, a Christian who made a pilgrimage here to Jerusalem, told us.

Celebrating the Person

As people celebrate Easter, those at The Garden Tomb stress it’s not the place, it’s the person.     

“The Bible writers really weren’t that interested in establishing where Jesus died. We have very little information,” Bridge said. “The Bible writers themselves were much more interested in Jesus Christ himself who he is. Why He died.”    

“That’s what we want people to take away, that the tomb is empty. And we as Christians, of all the world’s faiths, serve a living God who’s overcome death, who’s has dealt with the sin in our life,” Meryon said. “And Jesus is the centrality of our Christian faith, is He not?”

“And so here at the Garden that’s what we want people to take away is the living Lord Jesus. The Easter weekend is the weekend that changed the world,” he added. “The weekend that Jesus died and was buried and rose again for me and for you.”


U.S. Seeks 4 Month Jerusalem Building Freeze

Video

 http://www.cbn.com/cbnnews/insideisrael/2010/March/US-Seeks-4-Month-Jerusalem-Building-Freeze-/

The U.S. wants Israel to freeze construction in East Jerusalem for four months, according to the Israeli newspaper Ha’aretz.

In exchange, the U.S. says it would pressure Palestinian President Mahmoud Abbas to hold direct peace talks with Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu.

The freeze would include Jewish neighborhoods such as Neveh Yaakov, French Hill, and Ramat Shlomo, the source of recent tensions between the U.S. and Israel.

“According to this idea, Israel would make it clear to the United States that during the coming four months no massive construction in East Jerusalem neighborhoods would be planned or carried out, enabling Israel to be seen as meeting the American and Palestinian demands,” the Ha’aretz article read.

Palestinians officials previously agreed to only indirect talks. They continue to refuse direct talks until Israel completely freezes construction in East Jerusalem.


 Budapest Seder stoned; none injured

 

Belgium Moves Toward Banning Muslim Face-Covering Veil

 
by Gil Ronen

(IsraelNN.com) A parliamentary committee in Belgium voted on Wednesday to ban the wearing of face-covering veils in public, and the full House of Representatives is expected to vote on the bill in late April. The Interior Affairs Committee, in which all major parties are represented, was unanimous in its decision.

“We cannot allow someone to claim the right to look at others without being seen,” MP Daniel Bacquelaine of the French-speaking MR liberal-values party told the Associated Press. “It is necessary that the law forbids the wearing of clothes that totally mask and encloses an individual.”

Similar legislation is being mulled in France as well and has been supported by President Nicolas Sarkozy. On Tuesday, however, France’s Council of State warned that the prohibition risked being found unconstitutional. The Belgian legislation could also be challenged in the European Court of Human Rights at Strasbourg.

Last November, Swiss citizens voted to ban minarets on mosques.

Only ‘a couple of dozen’ wearers
The Belgian legislation specifically targets the burqa and the niqab, both of which which cover the face, although these are not commonly seen in Belgium. “We have to act as of today to avoid (its) development,” Bacquelaine said. “Wearing the burqa in public is not compatible with an open, liberal, tolerant society,” he said.

There are about 500,000 Muslims in Belgium. The Belgian Muslim Council says only “a couple of dozen” wear full-face veils. Several districts of Belgium have already banned the burqa in public places.

Supporters of the ban say that face-covering garb poses security problems and violates women’s civil rights. Opponents like Isabelle Praile, the Vice President of the Muslim Executive of Belgium, said it could set a dangerous precedent. “Today it’s the full-face veil, tomorrow the veil, the day after it will be Sikh turbans and then perhaps it will be mini-skirts,” she told the AFP news agency.

Sources close to the Indian defense ministry in New Delhi disclosed Wednesday, March 31, that a military purchasing mission was in Israel recently to expedite the purchase of a large number of unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs or drones) armed with missiles, for deployment on its front lines against Pakistan.
Indian sources did not disclose the size of the order placed with Israel Aerospace Industries (IAI) - running to hundreds of millions of dollars - but they made no secret of their intention to build up their fleet of reconnaissance and killer drones for a possible duel against US-armed Predators in the hands of Pakistani forces.
Islamabad is pushing Washington hard for strategic Predator drones, like those the US employs against al Qaeda and Taliban strongholds in Pakistan’s tribal districts on the Afghan border.
From Israel, New Delhi has commissioned a few more drones of the Heron MALE (medium-altitude, long-endurance) type, as well as Searcher-II and Harpy `killer’ drones designed to detect and destroy enemy radars by functioning like cruise missiles.  

Our military sources report that their reconnaissance and targeting features are sought by India for its response should the Americans decide to let Pakistan have drones capable of firing AGM-114 Hellfire missiles. New Delhi made its order urgent after learning that Washington may deliver drones to Islamabad much sooner than Indian intelligence had foreseen.  

Together with the drones, India also ordered from Israel advanced ground control systems and data terminals for their operation.

The visiting Indian delegation also discussed the possible introduction of Israeli Harop `killer’ UAVs to the Indian Air Force from 2011. These drones can loiter six hours over targets on ground, sea or dense urban areas and strike them from different angles. The visitors checked on the progress of the DRDO unmanned gunship helicopter, a joint Indian-Israeli project on commission for both their air forces, which is under construction at an Israeli aerospace industry plant. India is going half-and-half with Israel in the costs of developing and production of the innovative helicopter.


SWI NEWS: Wednesday, March 31, 2010 16 Nisan, 5770

Tuesday, March 30th, 2010

 IAF Jets Scrambled as Foreign Fighters Approached Israel

(IsraelNN.com) The Israel Air Force’s readiness was tested Tuesday evening in an incident whose details are not being released in full.

The Israel Air Force’s Northern Control Unit spotted fighter jets from a foreign country approaching Israel’s air space. Israeli fighter jets were scrambled to intercept the foreign jets, out of concern that they were involved in a hostile attempt of some sort.

After a short time it became clear that the foreign jets were not attempting hostile action and the IAF jets returned to their bases.

According to Channel 2 news, the incident occurred in the skies west of Haifa and the foreign jets had been participating in an exercise. Israel’s nearest neighbors to the west and north include Cyprus and Turkey.

One of the scenarios that the IDF is concerned about involves a Muslim terrorist who flies a jet into Israeli airspace in order to carry out an attack.


Deputy Minister: If US Balks at Veto, Shun ‘Hussein Obama’

(IsraelNN.com) Deputy Minister Ayoub Kara reacted acerbically to a BBC report that the United States may abstain from using its veto power if the UN Security Council votes to condemn Israeli building for Jews in eastern Jerusalem.

“If Israel does not receive backing from the United States in the Security Council and the US does not veto a resolution of condemnation,” said the Deputy Minister for Development of the Negev and Galilee, “we should cut off all contacts with Hussein Obama and call upon the American people to raise a cry of dissent against the belligerent policy that has been implemented of late – first and foremost by the president of the US.”

Enough ‘abuse’
The “abuse” and “aggression” toward the prime minister is abuse of each and every Israeli, he said, in a reference to the humiliations Prime Minister Binyamin Netanyahu has undergone in his visits to the White House.

Kara intentionally used Obama’s Muslim middle name, leaving out his first name, which is also of Muslim origin.  

Kara said Netanyahu should receive maximum backing within Israel, and particularly inside the Likud party. 

Dep.-Min. Kara was hosted for the Passover seder at Pisgat Ze’ev, along with dozens of Christian Zionists who came from the US to celebrate Passover in Israel.

Dep.-Min. Kara, a Druze, is one of the most proudly and aggressively Zionist members of the current coalition. He has compared his connection to the Jewish people to that of Yitro (Jethro) and Moses. The Druze see Yitro – whom they call Shuaib – as their greatest prophet.  

A senior US source has denied the BBC report, saying that no resolution of condemnation of Israel over construction in Jerusalem is expected in the UNSC. 


 Jerusalem Bus Ad Campaign for Rebuilt Temple

(IsraelNN.com) Our Land of Israel has launched a Passover advertisement campaign on Jerusalem’s buses that calls for rebuilding the Jewish Temple in its original location, atop the Temple Mount.

The campaign by (also known as SOS-Israel) features a slogan that is taken directly from the Jewish prayer book: “May the Temple be built swiftly in our days.”

The accompanying graphic is an artist’s depiction of the Holy Temple on Jerusalem’s Temple Mount – the place where it originally stood, and where Muslim structures now stand.

Waiting for the Messiah
Our Land of Israel said that the campaign is intended “to lead to the rebuilding of the Temple swiftly and in our times, and to increase the public consciousness and expectation for the construction of the Temple.” The movement, which is headed by Rabbi Dov Sholom Wolpo and veteran activist Baruch Marzel, has placed the advertisements on about 200 Egged buses. Many of these buses travel on routes that pass through the heavily Arab-populated eastern neighborhoods of the city, the movement’s press release noted.

Chairman of Our Land of Israel Rabbi Wolpo said Tuesday that “the Nation of Israel awaits with bated breath the building of the Temple and the coming of the Messiah.” He added that “the Arabs, and President Obama as well, know that the Temple will be constructed on the Temple Mount instead of the temporary structures that are currently there.”

“In the face of the waves of hostility and hatred and the attempts to wrest Jerusalem from the Jewish people,” said Baruch Marzel, “we should remember the deep expectation for the coming of the Messiah and the building of the Third Temple.” 


Israel Loosens Passover Travel Ban for Easter

Israel will loosen its Passover ban on travel between Judea and Samaria (the West Bank) and Jerusalem to allow Arab Christians to celebrate Easter in the city.

The Israeli Defense Forces (IDF) traditionally imposes a closure of checkpoints during the week-long Passover holiday to prevent terrorist attacks. 

The closure between Israel and the West Bank has generally been in effect since Passover 2002, when a suicide bomber killed 30 Israelis and wounded more than 140 at a hotel in the seaside town of Netanya.

This year, Israel will issue travel permits for the approximately 10,000 Arab Christians who live in Judea and Samaria and another 500 who live in the Gaza Strip to visit families and take part in Easter services.

Professionals such as doctors, lawyers, and teachers, as well as humanitarian workers and religious leaders, will also have access to travel permits.

Only Arab Muslims over the age of 50 will be allowed for Friday prayers on the Temple Mount. Jews will not have access to the area during the holiday for security reasons. 

A religious Jew was arrested Monday for allegedly trying to sacrifice a goat on the Temple Mount.

Sources: IsraelNationalNews, The Jerusalem Post


Palestinian news agencies report that Israeli soldiers shot and killed a Palestinian teenager from the Gaza Strip after he crossed into Israel to join in Arab “Land Day” protests.

The Israeli Defense Forces (IDF) says the soldiers fired into the air to keep protesters away from the border fence, but denies that they took aim directly at Palestinians.

The Ma’an news agency also reports “dozens” of Palestinian demonstrators were wounded. Land Day protests mark an event 34 years ago when six Israeli Arabs died during a demonstration against land confiscations.

Israel’s border with the Gaza Strip has been mostly quiet for the past year. But in the last two weeks violence has flared again, as terrorist rocket attacks and gunfights with Israeli troops killed three soldiers and a Thai farm worker.


 Rahat gunfight leaves 2 dead, 3 wounded

Israel sees dramatic change in US relations in near future

 

Obama pressure creating political turmoil in Jerusalem

Israel’s government coalition may be on the verge of collapse thanks to last week’s unprecedented pressure on Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu by US President Barack Obama.

The left-wing Labor Party, which has more or less stood by Netanyahu until now, has demanded that the prime minister bring the opposition Kadima Party into the coalition in order to mend the current rift with Washington.

Senior Labor ministers said Obama’s demand that Netanyahu extend indefinitely the Jewish building freeze in Judea and Samaria had given them the opportunity to test the prime minister and his ruling Likud Party.

The freeze is scheduled to expire in September, at which point many Labor lawmakers said they would have fought hard to extend it. But Obama wants Netanyahu’s commitment on the matter now.

Labor ministers say the only way forward considering the current situation is for Netanyahu to kick some of his more right-wing coalition partners out of the government and offer Kadima leader Tzipi Livni enough influence and power to entice her to join.

Israeli commentators have suggested that is what Obama wanted all along, since Kadima and Labor are far more in line with Washington’s policies of creating a Palestinian state in nearly all of Judea and Samaria with the eastern half of Jerusalem as its capital

While Israeli leaders try to downplay the current tension with the US, unnamed officials in Jerusalem acknowledge that Israel’s relationship with America is likely to change dramatically for the worse over the course of President Barack Obama’s term in office.

In remarks carried by Ha’aretz, Israeli government sources said the recent behavior of Obama and other high-ranking US officials toward Israel points to an imposed peace settlement with the Palestinians and wider Arab world over the next two years.

The sources noted that one of the US demands of Israel to make up for the recent perceived insult of continud Jewish building in Jerusalem was that all final status issues be on the table in upcoming US-brokered indirect peace talks.

If Israel agrees to that demand, it would mean giving the Obama Administration much more influence over the peace terms Israel would have to accept regarding issues such as control of Jerusalem, final borders and the return of so-called “Palestinian refugees.”

Israeli officials again warned that Obama’s behavior is hardening Palestinian positions and putting genuine peace even further out of reach. They also cautioned that Israeli public trust in America would further wane.


SWI NEWS: Monday, March 29, 2010 14 Nisan, 5770

Sunday, March 28th, 2010

Barak: Israel alone will decide issues of ‘nat’l importance’

 J’lem posters call for 3rd Temple

 US May Abstain if UNSC Votes on Eastern Jerusalem Construction

(IsraelNN.com) The US is considering abstaining if the United Nations Security Council votes on a resolution against Israeli construction in eastern Jerusalem, the BBC reported Sunday.

For decades, Israel has depended on the US to veto UNSC resolutions aimed against it. A change in this US policy could be very perilous for Israel. 

Anti-Israeli resolutions pass regularly in the UN General Assembly, but their meaning is largely declarative. The UNSC, however, has the power to back its resolutions with action.

The possibility of the US abstaining on a vote on eastern Jerusalem came up at talks in Paris last week between a senior US official and Qatar’s Prime Minister and Foreign Minister, Sheikh Hamad Bin Jasim Al Thani. A diplomatic source told the BBC that the official said the US would “seriously consider abstaining” if the issue of Israeli construction for Jews was put to the vote.
 
Sheikh Hamad Al Thani was in Paris last week for an economic forum. He asked the US official if Washington would promise not to veto a UN Security Council resolution that criticized Israel’s construction for Jews in eastern Jerusalem.

The US official replied that the current feeling in Washington was that the US would “seriously consider abstention”. An Egyptian official reportedly confirmed the US position during a closed-doors meeting at the Arab League summit.


 Steinitz: We Might Need to Retake Gaza, Destroy Hamas

(IsraelNN.com) Minister Yuval Steinitz of Likud warned Sunday that Israel may be forced to retake control of Gaza and topple the Hamas regime. In an interview with goverment-run Voice of Israel Radio, Steinitz said that Israel “will not tolerate” Hamas’s growing rocket arsenal.

The minister’s warning came two days after two Israeli soldiers were killed in a clash with terrorists in Gaza. Gaza terrorists have increased the frequency of their rocket attacks on southern Israel in recent weeks; several days ago, a rocket killed a Thai worker on a kibbutz .

Israel withdrew from Gaza in 2005; in 2007, Hamas seized control of the region. In late 2008 Israel carried out a major counter-terror offensive in Gaza after increasingly frequent rocket attacks killed several civilians. The three-week offensive succeeded in greatly reducing the number of attacks from Gaza.

Steinitz also discussed the United States’s pressure on Israel regarding housing for Jews in Jerusalem. America’s criticism of Israel is not advancing peace, but rather, is having the opposite effect, he stated.

Prime Minister Binyamin Netanyahu has already made two significant gestures to the Palestinian Authority, by freezing construction for Jews in Judea and Samaria and by working to improve the PA economy, Steinitz said. By continuing to pressure Israel, the US is giving the impression that it is less friendly to Israel than it was in the past, which encourages the PA to up its demands, he explained.


 IDF Prepares for Large-Scale Missile Attack

(IsraelNN.com) The Air Force this past week has tested new anti-missile systems by simulating a large-scale attack from several enemies using missiles ranging from the primitive Kassam rocket to Iran’s advanced Shihab missile.

The computer-simulated tests involved several defense systems, including Iron Dome and Arrow 3, against simultaneous attacks from Gaza, Lebanon and Iran.

The anti-missile systems are expected to become operational over a period of years, with the Iron Dome system against short-range Kassam rockets expected to be ready before the end of 2010.

Lt. Col Avi Cohen, head of the Arrow program, explained that the exercise was staged to help determine how different systems can function in a large-scale attack requiring the use of different anti-missile systems.

He said that intensive purchase programs have enabled the Israel Defense Forces to make breakthroughs in technology, which require testing to enable the Air Force to prepare the systems for operation. Additonal tests are scheduled throughout the year.


US researchers postulate Israeli tactical nuclear strike on Iran
DEBKAfile Special Report March 28, 2010, 11:30 PM (GMT+02:00)

Tactical Nuclear Weapon

Scenarios of a potential Israeli attack on Iran - usually without Washington’s assent - abound in leading US media in the last 24 hours. They contrast sharply with the impression Israeli prime minister Binyamin Netanyahu has been trying to convey to the public that he and President Barack Obama were of one mind on the Iranian question when they talked at the White House last Tuesday, March 23, but  the president wanted more Israeli concessions to get talks restarted with the Palestinians.
debkafile’s military sources point in particular to the work of two eminent experts on Iran’s nuclear program, Anthony Cordesman and American-Jordanian Abdullah Toqan for the Washington Institute for Strategic Affairs, who report the belief in some American military circles that “…nuclear weapons are the only weapons that can destroy targets deep underground or in tunnels…”
The quote was embodied in a 208-page report published Friday, March 26 under the heading: Options in Dealing with Iran’s Nuclear Program.

They explain that because of the limited scale of its air and missile forces, Israel would resort to “using these warheads as a substitute for conventional weapons, given the difficulty its jets would face in reaching Iran for anything more than a one-off sortie.”
Our sources note that in July 2009, the two researchers (in a 114-page report) maintained that the Israeli Air Force possessed the aircraft and resources for striking Iran’s nuclear facilities. This view disputed the estimates generally current Washington at the time. Then, too, Cordesman and Toqan were of the opinion that it was not necessary to hit scores of targets to cripple Iran’s nuclear bomb program: Seven to nine sites would suffice.
Our Iranian sources report that Tehran ran off thousands of copies of that report for distribution among its intelligence and Revolutionary Guards commanders, who were told to study every word, photo and map. Iran’s rulers took the work as seriously as though they had scooped a top-secret Israeli plan of operation.

In their latest work, the two researchers find that “”Ballistic missiles or submarine-launched cruise missiles could serve for Israeli tactical nuclear strikes without interference from Iranian air defenses.”
Saturday, March 27, the day after the Cordesman-Toqan paper was published, The New York Times revealed:
“… international inspectors and Western intelligence agencies say they suspect that Tehran is preparing to build more sites,” six months after its secret enrichment plant was discovered in Qom.

The report goes on to say:  ”The most compelling circumstantial evidence… is that while Iran appears to be making new equipment to enrich uranium, that equipment is not showing up in the main plant that inspectors visit regularly ”
Small manufacturing factories spread around Iran to avoid detection and sabotage “are a particular target of American, Israeli and European intelligence agencies,” some of which have been penetrated,” the report says.  Iran “has encountered difficulties in manufacturing centrifuges, the machines that spin at very high speeds to enrich uranium.”

Then, Sunday, March 28, The New York Times followed up with proposed scenario, captioned: “Imagining an Israeli Strike on Iran,” based on a simulation exercise conducted last December by the Saban Center for Middle East Policy at the Brookings Institution in Washington.

Its main point is that if Israel goes ahead with this attack, using a refueling base set up in the Saudi desert without Saudi knowledge, Washington will essentially tell its leaders they have “made a mess,” and instruct them “to sit in a corner while the United States tries to clean things up.”
The exercise does not indicate how the US will clean things up, whether diplomatically or militarily - or both - or just concentrate on keeping the Gulf oil nations safe from Iranian retaliation.
Iran next defies warnings and fires missiles at Israel, including its nuclear center at Dimona, with minimal damage and casualties - the strategy being “to mount low-level attacks on Israel while portraying the United States as a paper tiger…”

debkafile’s sources infer from this simulated war game that the Americans believe that, aside from the confrontation over Iran’s nuclear facilities, Israel and Iran will try and use their conflict to manipulate US policy.

The next stage would be for Hizballah to fire up to 100 rockets a day into northern Israel, following which Israel would launch a 48-hour campaign by air and special forces against Lebanon to destroy Hizbalah’s military strength.
The games simulators then predict an Iranian attack on the Saudi oil industry center at Dahran with conventional missiles, mining the Strait of Hormuz and damaging US oil shipping.
At that point, Washington will embark on a massive reinforcement of the Gulf region. It is clear that the US will then aim at destroying all Iranian, air, ground and sea targets in and around the Strait of Hormuz to inflict a “significant defeat” on Iran’s forces.
The game is projected to end eight days after the initial Israeli strike.